“Why Doesn’t the Hong Kong Government Sell More Public Land” (with Francis Cheung and Shawn Ni), Frontiers of Economics in China, 2016
"An Analysis of Constrained Property Taxes in a Simple Optimal Tax Model" (with T. Davidoff), CESifo Economic Studies, 2012
"What's in a Name?" (with G. Hess), Economic Inquiry, 2010
"Supply Constraints and Housing Prices"(with T. Davidoff), Economics Letters, 2008
Handbook on the Economics of Retailing and Distribution (editor). Edward Elgar Publishing, 2016, 494pp
"Does the Minimum Wage Bite into Fast-Food Prices?" (with M. Khan), Journal of Labor Research, 2016
"Change at the Checkout: Tracing the Impact of a Process Innovation," Journal of Industrial Economics, 2015
"Supersize It: The Growth of Retail Chains and the Rise of the `Big Box' Retail Format" (with S. Klimek and P. H. Van), Journal of Economics and Management Strategy, 2012
"Raising the Barcode Scanner: Technology and Productivity in the Retail Sector," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 2012
"Monetary Mechanisms" (with R. Wright) Journal of Economic Theory, 2016.
"Money and Credit Redux" (with F. Mattesini and R. Wright) Econometrica, 2016.
"Unconventional Optimal Open Market Purchases" (with J. Haslag) Review of Economic Dynamics, 2014.
"Endogenous Credit Cycles" (with F. Mattesini, C. Monnet and R. Wright) Journal of Political Economy, 2013.
"Banking: A New Monetarist Approach" (with F. Mattesini, C. Monnet and R. Wright) Review of Economic Studies, 2013.
"Noisy Sunspots and Bank Runs" Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2011.
"Production, Hidden Action, and the Payment System" (with M. Guzman & J. Haslag) Journal of Monetary Economics, 2011.
"Herding and Bank Runs" Journal of Economic Theory, 2011.
"Government Policy under Price Uncertainty: A Source of Volatility in Illegal Immigration" (with M. Guzman and P. Orrenius), Canadian Journal of Economics, forthcoming
"Unconventional Optimal Open Market Purchases," (with C. Gu), Review of Economic Dynamics, forthcoming.
"Cyclical Co-Movement between Output, the Price Level, and the Inflation Rate," ( with Yu-Chin Hsu),Advances in Econometrics, vol. 30., 2012
"Production, Hidden Action, and the Payment System," (with C. Gu & M. Guzman), Journal of Monetary Economics, 2011
"Optimal Monetary Policy and Economic Growth,"(with J. Bhattacharya and A. Martin), European Economic Review, 2009
"Why Does Overnight Liquidity Cost More Than Intraday Liquidity," (with J. Bhattacharya and A. Martin), Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2009
"Who is Afraid of the Friedman Rule?" (with J. Bhattacharya, A. Martin and R. Singh), Economic Inquiry, 2009
"Understanding the Cost Differences Between Intraday and Overnight Liquidity," (with J. Bhattacharya and A. Martin), Journal of Financial Transformation, 2008
The Cyclical Dynamics of Illiquid Housing, Debt, and Foreclosures, Quantitative Economics, 2016
Estate Taxation and Human Capital with Information Externalities, Macroeconomic Dynamics, Forthcoming
Illiquidity and its Discontents: Trading Delays and Foreclosures in the Housing Market, Journal of Monetary Economics, Forthcoming
See http://faculty.missouri.edu/~kaplandm for recent publications, working papers, and supporting files (code, etc.).
“Sourcing Co-Created Products: Should your Suppliers Collaborate on Cost Reductions?” (with Niladri Syam), Review of Industrial Organization, 2020
“Clipping Coupons: Redemption of Offers with Forward-Looking Consumers” (with Kissan Joseph), Economics Bulletin, 2019
"Price Competition in the Presence of a Web Aggregator" (with Andrea Mantovani), Journal of Economics, 2019
"Learning in Advance Selling with Heterogeneous Consumers” (with X. Henry Wang and Chenhang Zeng), Managerial and Decision Economics, 2017
“Pricing Strategies in Advance Selling: Should a Retailer Offer a Pre-order Price Guarantee?” Review of Industrial Organization, 2016
"Customization in an Endogenous-Timing Game with Vertical Differentiation" (with X. Henry Wang), Economic Modelling, 2013
"Competitive Effects of Mass Customizations," Review of Marketing Science, 2012
"Customization with Vertically Differentiated Products'' (with X. Henry Wang), Journal of Economics and Management Strategy, 2011
"Brand Familiarity and Product Knowledge in Customization," International Journal of Economic Theory, 2010
"Customization: Ideal Varieties, Product Uniqueness and Price Competition,'' (with X. Henry Wang), Economics Bulletin, 2009
“Incentive Schemes in Peer-to-Peer Networks” (with Haibin Lu and X. Henry Wang), The B.E. Journal of Theoretical Economics, 2009
Real and Virtual Competition," Journal of Industrial Economics, 2009
"Exposure Order Effects and Advertising Competition," Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 2009
"Price Experimentation with Strategic Buyers" (with Curtis Taylor), Review of Economic Design, 2008
"Leading Principal Minors and Semidefiniteness", Economic Inquiry 56 (2018): 1396-1398.
Producers, Consumers and Partial Equilibrium. Elsevier/Academic Press 2016.
“Targeting Rivals: Moving from ‘Whether’ to ‘Whom’” (with John W. Mayo and David E. M. Sappington), International Journal of Industrial Organization. 46 (2016): 1-15.
“Motivating Regulated Suppliers to Assess Alternative Technologies, Protocols and Capital Structures” (with Mark Jamison and David E. M. Sappington), International Journal of Industrial Organization 37 (2014): 13-22.
“On Second Order Conditions for Equality Constrained Extremum Problems,” Economics Letters 121 (2013): 440-443.
"Pricing Inputs to Induce Efficient Make-or-Buy Decisions," Journal of Regulatory Economics, 2009.
"Incentives for Sabotage in Vertically Related Industries" (with D. E. M. Sappington), Journal of Regulatory Economics, 2007.
"TELRIC Pricing with Vintage Capital," Journal of Regulatory Economics, 2002.
"Killing the Goose that May have Laid the Golden Egg: Only the Data Know whether Sabotage Pays," Journal of Regulatory Economics, 2000.
"Relative Efficiency with Equivalence Classes of Asymptotic Covariances," (with C. Martins-Filho)Journal of Econometrics, 1999.
"A Unified Approach to Asymptotic Equivalence of Aitken and Feasible Aitken Instrumental Variables Estimators," (with C. Martins-Filho) International Economic Review, 1994.
"Seemingly Unrelated Regressions Under Additive Heteroscedasticity: Theory and Share Equation Applications," (with Carlos Martins-Filho) Journal of Econometrics, 1993
"Nonuniform Bertrand Competition," Econometrica, 1992
Publications Since 2016:
"Evaluating Trends in Time Series of Distributions: A Spatial Fingerprint of Human Effects on Climate" (with Y. Chang, R.K. Kaufmann, C.S. Kim, J.Y. Park, and S. Park), Journal of Econometrics, forthcoming.
"Testing Cointegrating Relationships Using Irregular and Non-Contemporaneous Series with an Application to Paleoclimate Data," Journal of Time Series Analysis, 2019.
"Modeling and Extrapolating Wheat Producer Support Using Income and Other Factors" (with J. Zhao and W. Thompson), Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2018.
"Simple Robust Tests for the Specification of High-Frequency Predictors of a Low-Frequency Series," Econometrics and Statistics, 2018.
"Disentangling Temporal Patterns in Elasticities: A Functional Coefficient Panel Analysis of Electricity Demand" (with Y. Chang, Y. Choi, C.S. Kim, and J.Y. Park), Energy Economics, 2016.
"A New Approach to Modeling the Effects of Temperature Fluctuations on Monthly Electricity Demand" (with Y. Chang, C.S. Kim, J.Y. Park, and S. Park), Energy Economics, 2016.
"Implementing Residual-Based KPSS Tests for Cointegration with Data Subject to Temporal Aggregation and Mixed Sampling Frequencies" (with X. Wang), Journal of Time Series Analysis, 2016.
"Conditionally Efficient Estimation of Long-Run Relationships Using Mixed-Frequency Time Series," Econometric Reviews, 2016.
Selected Older Publications:
"Nonlinearity, Nonstationarity, and Thick Tails: How They Interact to Generate Persistence in Memory" (with J.Y. Park), Journal of Econometrics, 2010.
"Crude Oil and Stock Markets: Stability, Instability, and Bubbles" (with R. Ratti), Energy Economics, 2009.
"Extracting a Common Stochastic Trend: Theory with Some Applications" (with Y. Chang and J.Y. Park), Journal of Econometrics, 2009.
Campaign Finance and American Democracy: What the Public Really Thinks and Why It Matters (with David Primo). University of Chicago Press, 2020.
“Do Campaign Finance Reforms Insulate Incumbents from Competition? New Evidence from State Legislative Elections” (with Jordan Butcher), PS: Political Science & Politics, 2020.
“Giving the People What They Want? Legislative Polarization and Public Approval of State Legislatures” (with Lilliard Richardson), State and Local Government Review, 2016.
“Public Confidence in the Redistricting Process: The Role of Independent Commissions, State Legislative Polarization and Partisan Preferences” (with Kathryn VanderMolen), State and Local Government Review, 2016.
“Measuring Public Corruption in the United States: Evidence from Administrative Records of Federal Prosecutions” (with Adriana Cordis), Public Integrity, 2016.
“Are Reemployment Services Effective? Experimental Evidence from the Great Recession” (with M. Michaelides), Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, forthcoming
“Second Chance for High School Dropouts? A Regression Discontinuity Analysis of Postsecondary Educational Returns to the GED” (with C. Jepsen and K. Troske), Journal of Labor Economics (vol. 35, no. S1, July 2017), pp. S273-S304
“Labor-Market Returns to the GED Using Regression Discontinuity Analysis” (with C. Jepsen and K. Troske), Journal of Political Economy, vol. 124, no. 3, June 2016
"Temporary Help Work: Earnings, Wages and Multiple Job Holding" (with S. Hamersma & C. Heinrich),Industrial Relations, 2014
"Do Public Employment and Training Programs Work?" (with C. Heinrich, K. Troske, K. Jeon & D. Kahvecioglu), IZA Journal of Labor Economics, 2013
"The Impact of Welfare Reform on Leaver Characteristics, Employment and Recidivism: An Analysis of Maryland and Missouri" (with D. Stevens, and K. Troske), Welfare Reform and its Long-Term Consequences for America's Poor, James P. Ziliak (ed.), Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press. 2009
"The Role of Temporary Help Employment in Low-wage Worker Advancement" (with C. Heinrich and K. Troske), Labor Market Intermediaries, edited by D. Autor. Cambridge, Mass: National Bureau of Economic Research, 2009
"Introduction: Economics and Interdisciplinary Approaches in Migration Research" (with C. Boswell),Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, 2008
“Using State Administrative Data to Measure Program Performance” (with K. Troske and A. Gorislavsky), Review of Economics and Statistics (vol. 89, no. 4, November 2007), pp. 761-783.
“The Effects of Welfare-to-Work Program Activities on Labor Market Outcomes” (with A. Dyke, C. Heinrich and K. Troske), Journal of Labor Economics (vol. 24, no. 3, July 2006), pp. 567-608
Welfare and Work: Experiences in Six Cities (with C. King). Kalamazoo, Michigan: W.E. Upjohn Institute, 2005
“Welfare to Temporary Work: Implications for Labor Market Outcomes,” Review of Economic and Statistics (with C. Heinrich, and K. Troske), vol. 87, no. 1, (February 2005), pp. 154-173
Teacher Pension Plan Incentives, Retirement Decisions, and Workforce Quality (with M. Podgursky and X. Wang), Journal of Human Resources, forthcoming.
Intrinsic Bayesian Estimation of Linear Time Series Models (with D. Sun), Statistical Theory and Related Fields, forthcoming.
Pensions and Late Career Teacher Retention (with D. Kim, W. Kong, C. Koedel, M. Podgursky, and W. Wu), Education Finance and Policy, forthcoming.
Labor Market Frictions and Production Efficiency in Public Schools (with D. Kim, C. Koedel, and M. Podgursky), Economics of Education Review, 2017.
Pension Rules and Teachers’ Retirement Behaviors: Estimation of a Structural Model, (with M. Podgursky), Journal of Labor Economics, 2016.
Why Doesn't the Hong Kong Government Sell More Public Land? (with S. Aura and K. Cheung), Frontier Economics in China, 2016.
New Evidence on Excess Sensitivity of Household Consumption (with Y. Seol), Journal of Monetary Economics, 2014.
Who Benefits from Pension Enhancements (with C. Koedel and M. Podgursky), Education Finance and Policy, 2014.
A Bayesian Analysis of Normalized VAR Models (with D. Sun), Journal of Multivariate Analysis, 2014.
Bayesian Multivariate Estimates of Global Temperature Trends (with D. Sun and P. Speckman), Proceedings of American Statistical Association, 2013.
"Bayesian Testing of Restrictions on Vector Autoregressive Models" (with D. Sun), Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 2012.
"Long-Term Oil Price Forecasts: A New Perspective on Oil and the Macroeconomy," (with I. Miller), Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2011.
"A Bayesian Estimation of Estate-Specific Price to Rent Ratio of Shanghai and Shenzhen," (with J. Chen), International Real Estate Review, 2011.
"Selection of Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Models via Bayesian Stochastic Search," (with A. Loddo and D. Sun).
Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 2011.
"Bayesian Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of AR Models under a Reference Prior," (with Sun), Proceedings of American Statistical Association 2010.
"Estimating a Dynamic Discrete Choice Model on Teachers' Retirement Decision," (with M. Podgursky), Proceedings of American Statistical Association 2010.
"Bayesian Stochastic Search for Restricted VAR Models," (with E. George and D. Sun), Journal of Econometrics, 2008.
"Intrinsic Bayesian Estimation of VAR Impulse Responses," (with D. Sun and X. Sun), Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 2007.
“Optimal Capital Controls and Real Exchange Rate Policy: A Pecuniary Externality Perspective,” Journal of Monetary Economics, vol 84, 2016, pages 147-165 (with Gianluca Benigno, Huigang Chen, Alessandro Rebucci and Eric R. Young)
“Specification and Estimation of Bayesian Dynamic Factor Models: A Monte Carlo Analysis with an Application to Global House Price Comovement,” 2015, Advances in Econometrics Vol. 35. (with Laura E. Jackson, M. Ayhan Kose and Michael T. Owyang)
“The Sources of Business Cycles in a Low Income Country,” Pacific Economic Review, 2015, Vol 20:1 pp 125-148. (with Romain Houssa and Jolan Mohimont)
"News Shocks and the Slope of the Term Structure of Interest Rates,"(with A. Kurmann) American Economic Review, 2013
"Global House Price Fluctuations: Synchronization and Determinants,", (with H. Hirata, M. Ayhan Kose and M. Terrones) NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2012, University of Chicago Press, 2013
"Financial Crises and Macro-Prudential Policies," (with G. Benigno, H. Chen, A. Rebucci and E. R. Young),Journal of International Economics, 2013
"Global Business Cycles: Convergence or Decoupling?" (with M. A. Kose and E. Prasad) International Economic Review, 2012
"What Are The Driving Forces of International Business Cycles?," (with M. Crucini and M. A. Kose) Review of Economic Dynamics, 2011
"Do Credit Shocks Matter? A Global Perspective," (with T. Helbling, R. Huidrom, and M. A. Kose) European Economic Review, 2011
"Revisiting Overborrowing and its Policy Implications," (with G. Benigno, H. Chen, A. Rebucci and E. R. Young), Monetary Policy under Financial Turbulence, (eds. L. Cespedes, R. Chang and D. Saravia), 2011
"A Framework for Monetary Policy Analysis for Sub-Saharan Africa," (with R. Houssa and R. Puslenghea)Open Economies Review, 2010
"Understanding the Evolution of World Business Cycles," (with M. A. Kose and C. H. Whiteman) Journal of International Economics, , 2008
"99 Luftballons: Monetary Policy and the House Price Boom Across U.S. States," (with M. Del Negro) Journal of Monetary Economics, 2007.
"International Business Cycles: World, Region and Country Specific Factors," (with M. A. Kose and C. H. Whiteman) American Economic Review, , 2003
B. Backes, D. Goldhaber, C Grout, C. Koedel, S. Ni, M. Podgursky, P. Xiang, Z Xu. Benefit or Burden? Intergenerational Inequity of Teacher Pension Plans. Educational Researcher. (2016) 45(6), 367-377.
S. Ni and M. Podgursky. “How Teachers Respond to Pension System Incentives: New Estimates and Policy Applications.” Journal of Labor Economics. (2016) 34(4), 1075-1104.
C. Koedel, M. Ehlert, E. Parsons, M. Podgursky. “Selecting Growth Measures for Use in School Evaluation Systems: Should Proportionality Matter?” Educational Policy. (2016) 30(3), 465-500.
C. Koedel., M. Ehlert., E. Parsons., M. Podgursky. “Teacher Preparation Programs and Teacher Quality: Are There Real Differences Across Programs?” Education Finance and Policy. (2015) 10 (4), 508-534.
E. Parsons, C. Koedel, M. Podgursky, M. Ehlert, P.B. Xiang. “Incorporating End-of-Course Exam Timing into Educational Performance Evaluations.” Journal of Research on Educational Effectiveness. 8 (2015), 130-147.
C. Koedel, S. Ni, M. Podgursky. “Who Benefits from Pension Enhancements?” Education Finance and Policy. (2014) 9(2), 165-192.
Kang, W., Ratti, R.A., Vespignani, J., 2017, Oil Price Shocks and Policy Uncertainty: New Evidence on the Effects of US and non-US Oil Production, Energy Economics, forthcoming.
Kang, W., Perez de Gracia, F., Ratti, R.A., 2017, Oil Price Shocks, Policy Uncertainty, and Stock Returns of Oil and Gas Corporations, Journal of International Money and Finance 70, 344–359.
Ratti, R.A., Vespignani, J.L., 2016, Oil Prices and Global Factor Macroeconomic Variables, Energy Economics 59, 198-212.
Kang, W., Ratti, R.A., Vespignani, J., 2016, The Impact of Oil Price Shocks on the U.S. Stock Market: A Note on the Roles of U.S. and non-U.S. Oil Production, Economics Letters 145, 176-181.
Kang, W., Ratti, R.A., Yoon, K.H., 2015, Time-Varying Effect of Oil Market Shocks on the Stock Market, Journal of Banking and Finance 61, S150-S163.
Kang, W., Ratti, R.A., 2015, Oil shocks and China’s Policy Uncertainty and Stock Returns, Economics of Transition 23, 657-676.
Ratti, R.A., Vespignani, J., 2015, OPEC and non-OPEC oil production and the global economy, Energy Economics 50, 364-378.
Ratti, R.A., Vespignani, J., 2015, Commodity Prices and BRIC and G3 Liquidity: A SFAVEC Approach, Journal of Banking and Finance 53, 18-33
Kang, W., Ratti, R.A., Yoon, K.H., 2015, The Impact of Oil Price Shocks on the Stock Market Return and Volatility Relationship. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions & Money 34, 41-54.
“Duopoly Models with a Joint Capacity Constraint” (with A. Tao and B. Yang) Journal of Economics (Zeitschrift fur Nationalokonomie), 2018
“Learning in Advance Selling with Heterogeneous Consumers” (with O. Loginova and C. Zeng) Managerial and Decision Economics, 2017
"A Model of Advance Selling with Consumer Heterogeneity and Limited Capacity," (with C. Zeng) Journal of Economics (Zeitschrift fur Nationalokonomie), 2016
"Cournot and Bertrand Competition in a Differentiated Duopoly with Endogenous Technology Adoption," (with H. Ma and C. Zeng) Annals of Economics and Finance, 2015
“Private and Social Incentives for Vertical Contract Disclosure,” (with Q. Liu) Managerial and Decision Economics, 2014
"Entry Bias and Product Substitutability," (with L. Liu) Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics, 2013
"Strategic Choice of Channel Structure in an Oligopoly," (with L. Liu and B. Yang) Managerial and Decision Economics, 2012
"Customization with Vertically Differentiated Products," (with O. Loginova), Journal of Economics and Management Strategy, 2011